Should I start D'Andre Swift or Will Mallory in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?

THE FF CALL

Start D'Andre Swift

Will Mallory is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. D'Andre Swift has a scheduled game and projects for 10.8 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

D'Andre Swift: 14.7 FP recent scoring average.
D'Andre Swift: 8.75% matchup reduction against JAC.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 2026, 5:16 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

D'Andre Swift

RB · CHIStats & schedule

10.8FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

vs JAC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Will Mallory

TE · INDStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

D'Andre Swift

FF projection: 10.8 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.2 FP
Sleeper: 12.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

D'Andre Swift faces JAC in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 14.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Will Mallory

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. BYE

Will Mallory is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. D'Andre Swift has a scheduled game and projects for 10.8 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 5:16 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.521.3

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.0Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 19.2
21.3Expected FP
2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.7Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 15.3
16.9Expected FP
3
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.5Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 14.7
16.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.