
Should I start Cam Grandy or Payne Durham in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Payne Durham
The displayed FF scores are tied. Payne Durham is the default preference because ESPN has a comparable saved forecast for him and not for Cam Grandy. Missing data is not zero, and this coverage fallback is not a statistical edge.
- Payne Durham: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Payne Durham: 5% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Cam Grandy
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Payne Durham
- FF projection
- 0.3 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Payne Durham faces LAC in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Cam Grandy
- FF projection
- 0.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.3 FP
Cam Grandy faces CLE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 6.69.3Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 6.99.3Expected FP - 3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE ยท CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.27.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Trey McBride9.3projected FP
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Isaiah Likely7.5projected FP
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Colston Loveland7.0projected FP
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Kyle Pitts Sr.6.8projected FP