Should I start Beaux Collins or Jaden Bradley? (Standard Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Beaux Collins

Week 13 · Standard

Beaux Collins has the higher current FF forecast: 0.2 FP versus 0.0 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Beaux Collins: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Jaden Bradley: 1.2 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 15, 2026, 1:01 PM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Beaux Collins

WR · ATLStats & schedule

0.2FF projected

vs DET

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jaden Bradley

WR · WASStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

at TEN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

11.818.5

FF MEAN

1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.5Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 14.7
16.4Expected FP
2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 13.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.8Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 11.9
13.8Expected FP
3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 12.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 11.8Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 12.4
12.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.