
Should I start Jacoby Brissett or Joe Burrow? (PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Joe Burrow
Jacoby Brissett is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Joe Burrow has a scheduled game and projects for 22.0 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
Joe Burrow ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked
- Joe Burrow: 32.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Jacoby Brissett: 10.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Jacoby Brissett
QB ยท BALStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Joe Burrow
- FF projection
- 22.0 FP +1.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 20.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 19.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 17.7 FP
Joe Burrow faces CLE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 32.6 fantasy points.
Jacoby Brissett
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 10.0 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
QB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Josh AllenQB ยท BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.0Sleeper 24.0FantasyPros 21.022.9Expected FP - 2
Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.6Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 17.722.0Expected FP - 3
Drake MayeQB ยท NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.3Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 19.821.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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