
Should I start Denzel Boston or Jordan Mason? (PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Denzel Boston
+0.6 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Denzel Boston over Jordan Mason for Week 13 PPR: 11.4 projected points versus 10.9.
- Denzel Boston: 10.4 FP recent scoring average.
- Jordan Mason: 5.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Jordan Mason
RB ยท MINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Denzel Boston
- FF projection
- 11.4 FP -1.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 12.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 11.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 10.4 FP
Denzel Boston faces CIN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 10.4 fantasy points.
Jordan Mason
- FF projection
- 10.9 FP +0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 10.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 12.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 10.6 FP
Jordan Mason faces CAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Denzel Boston and Jordan Mason?
Denzel Boston holds a 0.6 FP projected edge over Jordan Mason. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN leans toward Denzel Boston, while Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Jordan Mason. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston has a 11.4 FP forecast in PPR against CIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.4 FP, putting this forecast 1.0 points above that average.
Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason has a 10.9 FP forecast in PPR against CAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.0 FP, putting this forecast 5.9 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Denzel Boston | Jordan Mason | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 12.6 FP | 10.7 FP | Denzel Boston +1.9 |
| Sleeper | 11.3 FP | 12.4 FP | Jordan Mason +1.1 |
| FantasyPros | 10.4 FP | 10.6 FP | Jordan Mason +0.1 |
Before the first kickoff. Denzel Boston: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Jordan Mason: Sun 4:25 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 26.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.3Sleeper 25.9FantasyPros 23.126.0Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.0Sleeper 26.3FantasyPros 22.724.6Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 22.9FantasyPros 20.021.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Jordan Mason
Blake Corum