Should I start Cairo Santos or Trey Smack? (PPR Week 13 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Trey Smack: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Trey Smack · Injury report dated Nov 12, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Cairo Santos: 11.3 FP recent scoring average.
Cairo Santos: 5% matchup reduction against JAC.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 3:17 PM ET · PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Cairo Santos

K · CHIStats & schedule

8.0FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

vs JAC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Trey Smack

K · GBStats & schedule

9.3FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Cairo Santos

FF projection: 8.0 FP -0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.8 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP

Cairo Santos faces JAC in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 11.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.

Trey Smack

FF projection: 9.3 FP +0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 9.3 FP

Trey Smack faces NO in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 7.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%. Trey Smack is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 3:17 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

K. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.811.2

FF MEAN

1
Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 11.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.6
11.2Expected FP
2
Tyler BassK · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.7Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.8
9.9Expected FP
3
Will ReichardK · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.3Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.2
9.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.