Should I start Michael Wilson or Rachaad White? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Michael Wilson: Confirmed unavailable; do not make a normal active-player recommendation. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Michael Wilson · Injury report dated Nov 10, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Michael Wilson: 13.5 FP recent scoring average.
Michael Wilson: 7.5% matchup lift against PHI.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 2026, 11:41 PM ET · Half-PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Michael Wilson

WR · ARIStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

vs PHI

Sun 4:05 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Rachaad White

RB · WASStats & schedule

8.7FF projected

↓ -2.3 vs ESPN

at TEN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Michael Wilson

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Michael Wilson faces PHI in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%. IR

Rachaad White

FF projection: 8.7 FP -2.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.0 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 8.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Rachaad White faces TEN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 9.4 fantasy points.

Updated Nov 13, 2026, 11:41 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Michael Wilson and Rachaad White?

Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.

Sleeper also projects Rachaad White higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against PHI. His recorded recent scoring average is 13.5 FP, putting this forecast 13.5 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 7.5%; it is already included in the projection.

Rachaad White

Rachaad White has a 8.7 FP forecast in Half-PPR at TEN. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.4 FP, putting this forecast 0.8 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Michael Wilson	Rachaad White	Projected edge
Sleeper	0.0 FP	7.4 FP	Rachaad White +7.4
Boosted Trees	9.9 FP	9.9 FP	Effectively level

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Michael Wilson: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Rachaad White: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

16.323.8

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.1
23.8Expected FP
2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.7
20.2Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 16.3
18.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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