Should I start Ladd McConkey or Rachaad White? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Rachaad White

+0.1 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Rachaad White over Ladd McConkey for Week 13 Half-PPR: 8.7 projected points versus 8.6.

Ladd McConkey: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Ladd McConkey · Injury report dated Nov 14, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Rachaad White: 9.4 FP recent scoring average.
Ladd McConkey: 10.6 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 10:33 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Rachaad White

RB · WASStats & schedule

8.7FF projected

↓ -2.3 vs ESPN

at TEN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Ladd McConkey

WR · LACStats & schedule

8.6FF projected

↑ +1.9 vs ESPN

at TB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Rachaad White

FF projection: 8.7 FP -2.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.0 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 8.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Rachaad White faces TEN in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 9.4 fantasy points.

Ladd McConkey

FF projection: 8.6 FP +1.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.7 FP
Sleeper: 9.6 FP
FantasyPros: 8.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Ladd McConkey faces TB in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 10.6 fantasy points. Ladd McConkey is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Rachaad White projects for 8.7 points, 0.1 more than Ladd McConkey.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 10:33 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Ladd McConkey and Rachaad White?

Rachaad White holds a 0.1 FP projected edge over Ladd McConkey. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Ladd McConkey, while ESPN, Boosted Trees lean toward Rachaad White. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey has a 8.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR at TB. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.6 FP, putting this forecast 2.0 points below that average. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Rachaad White

Rachaad White has a 8.7 FP forecast in Half-PPR at TEN. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.4 FP, putting this forecast 0.8 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Ladd McConkey	Rachaad White	Projected edge
ESPN	6.7 FP	11.0 FP	Rachaad White +4.3
Sleeper	9.6 FP	7.4 FP	Ladd McConkey +2.2
FantasyPros	8.8 FP	8.0 FP	Ladd McConkey +0.8
Boosted Trees	7.7 FP	9.9 FP	Rachaad White +2.1

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Ladd McConkey: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Rachaad White: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

17.623.8

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.1
23.8Expected FP
2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.7
20.2Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 17.6
19.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 13