
Should I start Emeka Egbuka or Isaiah Davis? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Emeka Egbuka
Isaiah Davis is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Emeka Egbuka has a scheduled game and projects for 9.9 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Emeka Egbuka: 5.4 FP recent scoring average.
- Emeka Egbuka: 8.75% matchup lift against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Isaiah Davis
RB ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Emeka Egbuka
- FF projection
- 9.9 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 9.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 9.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 10.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Emeka Egbuka faces LAC in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 5.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Isaiah Davis
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.1FantasyPros 21.123.4Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2FantasyPros 18.719.2Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9FantasyPros 17.618.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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