Should I start Drew Sample or Jake Briningstool? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Drew Sample

+1.2 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Drew Sample over Jake Briningstool for Week 13 Half-PPR: 1.6 projected points versus 0.4.

Drew Sample: 3.1 FP recent scoring average.
Jake Briningstool: 0.6 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 15, 2026, 7:42 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Drew Sample

TE · CINStats & schedule

1.6FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

at CLE

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Briningstool

TE · KCStats & schedule

0.4FF projected

= 0.0 vs ESPN

at LAR

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Drew Sample

FF projection: 1.6 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 2.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Drew Sample faces CLE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 3.1 fantasy points.

Jake Briningstool

FF projection: 0.4 FP Evenvs ESPN
ESPN: 0.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 0.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Jake Briningstool faces LAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Drew Sample projects for 1.6 points in half-PPR scoring, 1.2 more than Jake Briningstool. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 15, 2026, 7:42 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

9.212.1

FF MEAN

1
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 12.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 11.7FantasyPros 9.7
12.1Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 11.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 11.9FantasyPros 9.3
11.5Expected FP
3
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 10.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 9.8FantasyPros 9.2
10.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.