
Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Hunter Henry? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
Dalton Kincaid: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
Dalton Kincaid ยท Injury report dated
- Dalton Kincaid: 10.4 FP recent scoring average.
- Hunter Henry: 6.7 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR


Hunter Henry
TE ยท NEStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Dalton Kincaid
- FF projection
- 8.1 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 7.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.5 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Dalton Kincaid faces NE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 10.4 fantasy points. Dalton Kincaid is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
Hunter Henry
- FF projection
- 6.8 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 7.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Hunter Henry faces BUF in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Dalton Kincaid and Hunter Henry?
Availability takes priority over the points comparison. The headline warning above still applies; the supporting forecasts below do not clear an injured player to start.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Dalton Kincaid, while Boosted Trees leans toward Hunter Henry. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid has a 8.1 FP forecast in Half-PPR at NE. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.4 FP, putting this forecast 2.3 points below that average. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.
Hunter Henry
Hunter Henry has a 6.8 FP forecast in Half-PPR against BUF. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.7 FP.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Dalton Kincaid | Hunter Henry | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 7.4 FP | 7.0 FP | Dalton Kincaid +0.4 |
| Sleeper | 8.2 FP | 7.2 FP | Dalton Kincaid +0.9 |
| FantasyPros | 7.5 FP | 5.3 FP | Dalton Kincaid +2.2 |
| Boosted Trees | 7.5 FP | 7.7 FP | Hunter Henry +0.2 |
Before the first kickoff. Dalton Kincaid: Sun 4:25 PM ET. Hunter Henry: Sun 4:25 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.712.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 9.312.0Expected FP - 3
Isaiah LikelyTE ยท NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.210.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Trey McBride12.2projected FP
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Isaiah Likely10.1projected FP
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Harold Fannin Jr.9.9projected FP
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Tucker Kraft9.4projected FP
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Colston Loveland9.3projected FP
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T.J. Hockenson9.3projected FP
Dalton Kincaid
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