
Should I start Carson Towt or Luke Schoonmaker? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Luke Schoonmaker
Carson Towt is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Luke Schoonmaker has a scheduled game and projects for 0.8 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Luke Schoonmaker: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Luke Schoonmaker: 5% matchup reduction against SEA.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Carson Towt
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Luke Schoonmaker
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Luke Schoonmaker faces SEA in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Carson Towt
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.712.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 9.312.0Expected FP - 3
Isaiah LikelyTE ยท NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 9.210.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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