
Should I start Ben Yurosek or Efton Chism III? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Efton Chism III
+2.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Efton Chism III over Ben Yurosek for Week 13 Half-PPR: 4.2 projected points versus 1.7.
- Efton Chism III: 6.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Efton Chism III: 3.75% matchup lift against BUF.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Ben Yurosek
TE ยท MINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Efton Chism III
- FF projection
- 4.2 FP +2.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Efton Chism III faces BUF in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 6.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Ben Yurosek
- FF projection
- 1.7 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.8 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Ben Yurosek faces CAR in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.1FantasyPros 21.123.4Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2FantasyPros 18.719.2Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9FantasyPros 17.618.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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