Should I start Hunter Henry or Michael Wilson? (Standard Week 12 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Michael Wilson: Confirmed unavailable; do not make a normal active-player recommendation. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Michael Wilson · Injury report dated Nov 10, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Hunter Henry: 4.5 FP recent scoring average.
Hunter Henry: 5% matchup reduction against LAC.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 8:20 AM ET · Standard

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Hunter Henry

TE · NEStats & schedule

4.9FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

at LAC

Sun 8:20 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Michael Wilson

WR · ARIStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

vs WAS

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Why this pick?

Hunter Henry

FF projection: 4.9 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.6 FP
Sleeper: 6.0 FP
FantasyPros: 3.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Hunter Henry faces LAC in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.

Michael Wilson

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Michael Wilson faces WAS in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 10.5 fantasy points. IR

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 8:20 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Hunter Henry and Michael Wilson?

Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.

The available estimates disagree: Sleeper leans toward Hunter Henry, while Boosted Trees leans toward Michael Wilson. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry has a 4.9 FP forecast in Standard at LAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.5 FP, putting this forecast 0.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 5%; it is already included in the projection.

Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard against WAS. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.5 FP, putting this forecast 10.5 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Hunter Henry	Michael Wilson	Projected edge
Sleeper	6.0 FP	0.0 FP	Hunter Henry +6.0
Boosted Trees	5.7 FP	8.6 FP	Michael Wilson +2.9

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Hunter Henry: Sun 8:20 PM ET. Michael Wilson: Sun 4:25 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

15.822.4

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.1Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.3
20.8Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 19.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.4Sleeper 17.0FantasyPros 18.5
19.3Expected FP
3
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 15.8
19.1Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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