Should I start Denzel Boston or Tony Pollard? (Standard Week 12 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Denzel Boston: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. Tony Pollard: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Denzel Boston · Injury report dated Nov 12, 2026, 1:15 PM ET

Tony Pollard · Injury report dated Nov 12, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Denzel Boston: 5.4 FP recent scoring average.
Denzel Boston: 6.25% matchup lift against LV.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET · Standard

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Denzel Boston

WR · CLEStats & schedule

8.8FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

vs LV

Sun 1:00 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Tony Pollard

RB · TENStats & schedule

12.5FF projected

↑ +1.9 vs ESPN

at JAC

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Why this pick?

Denzel Boston

FF projection: 8.8 FP -1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Denzel Boston faces LV in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 5.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. Denzel Boston is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Tony Pollard

FF projection: 12.5 FP +1.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.6 FP
Sleeper: 9.5 FP
FantasyPros: 9.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tony Pollard faces JAC in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 29.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. Tony Pollard is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Denzel Boston and Tony Pollard?

Availability takes priority over the points comparison. The headline warning above still applies; the supporting forecasts below do not clear an injured player to start.

The available estimates disagree: Boosted Trees leans toward Denzel Boston, while ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Tony Pollard. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Denzel Boston

Denzel Boston has a 8.8 FP forecast in Standard against LV. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.4 FP, putting this forecast 3.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard has a 12.5 FP forecast in Standard at JAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 29.6 FP, putting this forecast 17.1 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%; it is already included in the projection. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Denzel Boston	Tony Pollard	Projected edge
ESPN	10.0 FP	10.6 FP	Tony Pollard +0.5
Sleeper	8.3 FP	9.5 FP	Tony Pollard +1.2
FantasyPros	7.6 FP	9.1 FP	Tony Pollard +1.6
Boosted Trees	9.0 FP	8.8 FP	Denzel Boston +0.1

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Denzel Boston: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Tony Pollard: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

15.822.4

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.1Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.3
20.8Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.4Sleeper 17.0FantasyPros 18.5
19.3Expected FP
3
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 15.8
19.1Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

More decisions involving your players

Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

WR · Week 12