
Should I start Bauer Sharp or Malik Washington in Week 12 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Malik Washington
+5.8 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Malik Washington over Bauer Sharp for Week 12 Standard: 5.9 projected points versus 0.1.
- Malik Washington: 5.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Malik Washington: 1.25% matchup reduction against NYJ.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Bauer Sharp
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Malik Washington
- FF projection
- 5.9 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Malik Washington faces NYJ in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 5.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Bauer Sharp
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Bauer Sharp faces CAR in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.1Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.320.8Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 16.9FantasyPros 18.519.2Expected FP - 3
Bucky IrvingRB ยท TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 15.319.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Christian Watson11.7projected FP