Fortified Fantasy

Week 122026 ยท Standard

WEEK CHECK

Youโ€™re viewing Week 12.

The current week is Week 10. Want to make a decision for this week instead?

View Week 10

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones in Week 12 (2026, Standard)?

THE FF CALL

Start Baker Mayfield

+2.8 projected edge ยท Standard

Start Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones for Week 12 Standard: 13.1 projected points versus 10.2.

Baker Mayfield ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked

Daniel Jones ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked

  • Baker Mayfield: 5.3 FP recent scoring average.
  • Daniel Jones: 6.8 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated ยท Standard

Baker Mayfield
Why this pick?

Baker Mayfield

FF projection
13.1 FP -1.1vs ESPN
ESPN
14.2 FP
Sleeper
14.3 FP
FantasyPros
15.8 FP
Boosted Trees
16.2 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Baker Mayfield faces CAR in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points.

Daniel Jones

FF projection
10.2 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN
10.5 FP
Sleeper
11.6 FP
FantasyPros
9.1 FP
Boosted Trees
14.0 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Daniel Jones faces NYG in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 6.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.

Baker Mayfield projects for 13.1 points in standard scoring, 2.8 more than Daniel Jones. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

FEATURED ยท YOUR NEXT MOVE

GamePlan.Fortify your season.Own the playoffs.

See your season unfold. Build stronger lineups, make smarter moves and plan your playoff push. Think weeks ahead while your league mates are still figuring out Sunday.

Build my GamePlan

Screenshots or SignUp

See an example GamePlan โ†—

YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week ยท #1 ROS ยท #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
โ— Weekโ— ROSโ— PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com
Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท

QB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
17.225.0
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.0Expected FP
  2. 2
    Caleb WilliamsQB ยท CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jayden DanielsQB ยท WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full QB rankings โ†—

More Week 12 decisions

Still deciding on Baker Mayfield?

QB ยท Week 12
Baker Mayfield13.1projected FP
Aaron Rodgers14.7projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Baker Mayfield13.1projected FP
Justin Herbert12.9projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Baker Mayfield13.1projected FP
Joe Milton III13.6projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Baker Mayfield13.1projected FP
Jacoby Brissett13.7projected FP
Compare the matchup

Other close calls

QB ยท Week 12
Joe Burrow25.0projected FP
Caleb Williams23.1projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Caleb Williams23.1projected FP
Jayden Daniels22.8projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Jayden Daniels22.8projected FP
Trevor Lawrence21.1projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Trevor Lawrence21.1projected FP
Josh Allen20.7projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Josh Allen20.7projected FP
Drake Maye20.6projected FP
Compare the matchup QB ยท Week 12
Drake Maye20.6projected FP
C.J. Stroud20.0projected FP
Compare the matchup
Compare other players Week 12

Compare these players rest of season โ†’