
Should I start Kimani Vidal or Ray Davis? (PPR Week 12 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Kimani Vidal
+5.5 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Kimani Vidal over Ray Davis for Week 12 PPR: 7.0 projected points versus 1.5.
- Kimani Vidal: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Kimani Vidal: 5% matchup reduction against NE.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Ray Davis
RB ยท BUFStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Kimani Vidal
- FF projection
- 7.0 FP -1.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.5 FP
Kimani Vidal faces NE in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Ray Davis
- FF projection
- 1.5 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.4 FP
Ray Davis faces KC in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 1.6 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 26.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.2Sleeper 27.326.3Expected FP - 2
Bucky IrvingRB ยท TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.6Sleeper 19.422.4Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.3Sleeper 20.019.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
More Week 12 decisions
Kimani Vidal7.0projected FP
Woody Marks8.2projected FP
Kimani Vidal7.0projected FP
Jacory Croskey-Merritt7.0projected FP
Kimani Vidal7.0projected FP
Kyle Monangai7.3projected FP
Kimani Vidal7.0projected FP
Keaton Mitchell6.6projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs26.3projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.9projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.9projected FP
Bucky Irving22.4projected FP
Bucky Irving22.4projected FP
Christian McCaffrey19.8projected FP
Christian McCaffrey19.8projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.5projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.5projected FP
Kyren Williams18.4projected FP
Kyren Williams18.4projected FP
Chase Brown17.6projected FP