
Should I start KeAndre Lambert-Smith or Mark Redman? (PPR Week 12 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: KeAndre Lambert-Smith
+0.7 projected edge ยท PPR
Start KeAndre Lambert-Smith over Mark Redman for Week 12 PPR: 1.2 projected points versus 0.5.
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 2 external sources project points.
- Mark Redman: 2 external sources project points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Mark Redman
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
- FF projection
- 1.2 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.8 FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces NE in Week 12.
Mark Redman
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.5 FP
Mark Redman faces LAR in Week 12.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.2Sleeper 27.3FantasyPros 22.123.9Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.9Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.821.2Expected FP - 3
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 24.4FantasyPros 19.521.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 12 decisions
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.2projected FP
Brenen Thompson2.3projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.2projected FP
Ben Skowronek1.2projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.2projected FP
Skyy Moore1.3projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.2projected FP
Malik Benson1.2projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.2projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba21.1projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba21.1projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown19.7projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown19.7projected FP
CeeDee Lamb19.0projected FP
CeeDee Lamb19.0projected FP
Justin Jefferson18.0projected FP
Justin Jefferson18.0projected FP
Malik Nabers17.2projected FP
Malik Nabers17.2projected FP
Tee Higgins17.0projected FP