Should I start Ray Davis or Travis Homer? (Standard Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Ray Davis

+1.4 projected edge · Standard

Start Ray Davis over Travis Homer for Week 11 Standard: 1.4 projected points versus -0.1.

Ray Davis: 1.6 FP recent scoring average.
Travis Homer: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 3:51 PM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Ray Davis

RB · BUFStats & schedule

1.4FF projected

↓ -0.1 vs ESPN

vs MIA

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Travis Homer

RB · PITStats & schedule

-0.1FF projected

at PHI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Ray Davis

FF projection: 1.4 FP -0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.5 FP
Sleeper: 1.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 0.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Ray Davis faces MIA in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 1.6 fantasy points.

Travis Homer

FF projection: -0.1 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: -0.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Travis Homer faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.

Ray Davis projects for 1.4 points in standard scoring, 1.4 more than Travis Homer. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff. FantasyPros projections are temporarily unavailable; they are excluded from this comparison.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 3:51 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.819.0

FF MEAN

1
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.0Sleeper 16.8
18.6Expected FP
2
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.0Sleeper 16.6
17.4Expected FP
3
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.8Sleeper 16.2
17.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.