
Should I start Jonathan Mingo or Payne Durham? (Standard Week 11 2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
Jonathan Mingo: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
Jonathan Mingo ยท Injury report dated
- Jonathan Mingo: 0.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Jonathan Mingo: 5% matchup lift against TEN.
Forecast updated ยท Standard


Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jonathan Mingo
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.6 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.8 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jonathan Mingo faces TEN in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%. Jonathan Mingo is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
Payne Durham
- FF projection
- 0.3 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Payne Durham faces DET in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 19.3FantasyPros 18.421.0Expected FP - 2
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 16.618.2Expected FP - 3
Tony PollardRB ยท TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 13.617.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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