
Should I start Hunter Henry or Michael Wilson in Week 11 (2026, Standard)?
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check the bye week first
Hunter Henry has no scheduled game in this week’s NFL slate. A projection alone is not a reason to start a player on bye.
Forecast updated · Standard


Michael Wilson
WR · ARIStats & schedule ›Why this pick?
Hunter Henry
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points. BYE
Michael Wilson
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.8 FP
- Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Michael Wilson faces KC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 10.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%. IR
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Hunter Henry and Michael Wilson?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
The available side-by-side estimates do not establish a clear alternate-source leader. Missing forecasts are omitted, not treated as zero.
Hunter Henry
Hunter Henry has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.5 FP, putting this forecast 4.5 points below that average.
Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.5 FP, putting this forecast 10.5 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Hunter Henry | Michael Wilson | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 0.0 FP | 0.0 FP | Effectively level |
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 18.420.8Expected FP - 2
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 16.617.5Expected FP - 3
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 13.617.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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