
Should I start D'Andre Swift or Ted Hurst III? (Standard Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start D'Andre Swift
+13.5 projected edge ยท Standard
Start D'Andre Swift over Ted Hurst III for Week 11 Standard: 15.8 projected points versus 2.3.
- D'Andre Swift: 14.7 FP recent scoring average.
- D'Andre Swift: 8.75% matchup lift against NO.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
D'Andre Swift
- FF projection
- 15.8 FP +1.0vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 14.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 16.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 12.8 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 15.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
D'Andre Swift faces NO in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 14.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Ted Hurst III
- FF projection
- 2.3 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 2.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Ted Hurst III faces DET in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 18.421.0Expected FP - 2
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 16.617.7Expected FP - 3
Tony PollardRB ยท TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.1Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 13.617.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
D'Andre Swift15.8projected FP
James Cook III17.7projected FP
D'Andre Swift15.8projected FP
Javonte Williams15.6projected FP
D'Andre Swift15.8projected FP
Derrick Henry15.4projected FP
D'Andre Swift15.8projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs16.6projected FP
Kenneth Walker III21.0projected FP
James Cook III17.7projected FP
James Cook III17.7projected FP
Tony Pollard17.2projected FP
Tony Pollard17.2projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs16.6projected FP
Javonte Williams15.6projected FP
Derrick Henry15.4projected FP
Derrick Henry15.4projected FP
Jonah Coleman14.9projected FP
Jonah Coleman14.9projected FP
Bucky Irving14.8projected FP