
Should I start KeAndre Lambert-Smith or Tanner Koziol? (PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Week 11 ยท PPR
KeAndre Lambert-Smith has the higher current FF forecast: 1.4 FP versus 1.3 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 3.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Tanner Koziol: 2.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Tanner Koziol
TE ยท JACStats & schedule โบKeAndre Lambert-Smith
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- Last 2 recorded games: 4.5 targets per game.
Tanner Koziol
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
- FF projection
- 1.4 FP +0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.9 FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces NYJ in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Tanner Koziol
- FF projection
- 1.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.3 FP
Tanner Koziol faces NYG in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 21.924.0Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.6Sleeper 20.0FantasyPros 20.123.0Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.7Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 16.020.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Elijah Sarratt2.7projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Harrison Wallace III1.4projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Jalen Royals1.5projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine1.5projected FP
CeeDee Lamb24.0projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase23.0projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase23.0projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown19.4projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown19.4projected FP
Malik Nabers17.2projected FP
Malik Nabers17.2projected FP
Chris Olave17.1projected FP
Chris Olave17.1projected FP
George Pickens16.6projected FP