
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Roschon Johnson? (PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Jaylen Warren
+14.2 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Jaylen Warren over Roschon Johnson for Week 11 PPR: 16.3 projected points versus 2.1.
- Jaylen Warren: 19.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Roschon Johnson: 1.7 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Roschon Johnson
RB ยท CHIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jaylen Warren
- FF projection
- 16.3 FP +0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 15.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 14.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 16.4 FP
Jaylen Warren faces PHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 19.0 fantasy points.
Roschon Johnson
- FF projection
- 2.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 2.7 FP
Roschon Johnson faces NO in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Tony PollardRB ยท TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.1Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 16.720.2Expected FP - 2
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.9Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 20.820.2Expected FP - 3
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.7Sleeper 19.0FantasyPros 17.819.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
Jaylen Warren16.3projected FP
James Cook III19.3projected FP
Jaylen Warren16.3projected FP
Chuba Hubbard16.8projected FP
Jaylen Warren16.3projected FP
Bhayshul Tuten15.8projected FP
Jaylen Warren16.3projected FP
Derrick Henry16.8projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.4projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs20.2projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs20.2projected FP
Tony Pollard20.2projected FP
Tony Pollard20.2projected FP
James Cook III19.3projected FP
James Cook III19.3projected FP
D'Andre Swift18.8projected FP
D'Andre Swift18.8projected FP
Javonte Williams18.4projected FP
Javonte Williams18.4projected FP
Jonah Coleman18.0projected FP