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Week 112026 ยท PPR

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Should I start Jaylen Waddle or Tony Pollard? (PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Tony Pollard

+7.7 projected edge ยท PPR

Start Tony Pollard over Jaylen Waddle for Week 11 PPR: 20.2 projected points versus 12.5.

Jaylen Waddle: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Jaylen Waddle ยท Injury report dated

  • Tony Pollard: 32.6 FP recent scoring average.
  • Tony Pollard: 1.25% matchup lift against DAL.

Forecast updated ยท PPR

Tony Pollard
Why this pick?

Tony Pollard

FF projection
20.2 FP +3.1vs ESPN
ESPN
17.1 FP
Sleeper
13.8 FP
FantasyPros
17.0 FP

Tony Pollard faces DAL in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 32.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.

Jaylen Waddle

FF projection
12.5 FP -0.8vs ESPN
ESPN
13.3 FP
Sleeper
12.6 FP
FantasyPros
11.6 FP

Jaylen Waddle faces LV in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 9.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%. Jaylen Waddle is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Tony Pollard projects for 20.2 points, 7.7 more than Jaylen Waddle.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 4:57 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Jaylen Waddle and Tony Pollard?

Tony Pollard holds a 7.7 FP projected edge over Jaylen Waddle. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Tony Pollard higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle has a 12.5 FP forecast in PPR against LV. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.0 FP, putting this forecast 3.5 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard has a 20.2 FP forecast in PPR at DAL. His recorded recent scoring average is 32.6 FP, putting this forecast 12.4 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side
SourceJaylen WaddleTony PollardProjected edge
ESPN13.3 FP17.1 FPTony Pollard +3.7
Sleeper12.6 FP13.8 FPTony Pollard +1.2
FantasyPros11.6 FP17.0 FPTony Pollard +5.4

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Jaylen Waddle: Sun 4:25 PM ET. Tony Pollard: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your leagueโ€™s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan โ†—.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
20.127.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailable
    23.9Expected FP
  2. 2
    CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.8Expected FP
  3. 3
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full FLEX rankings โ†—

YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK

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Jaylen Waddle12.5projected FP
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