Should I start Jaydn Ott or Woody Marks? (PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Woody Marks

+10.2 projected edge · PPR

Start Woody Marks over Jaydn Ott for Week 11 PPR: 10.9 projected points versus 0.7.

Jaydn Ott: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Jaydn Ott · Injury report dated Nov 13, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Woody Marks: 8.8 FP recent scoring average.
Woody Marks: 5% matchup lift against IND.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 PM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Woody Marks

RB · HOUStats & schedule

10.9FF projected

↑ +1.6 vs ESPN

vs IND

Thu 8:15 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jaydn Ott

RB · KCStats & schedule

0.7FF projected

vs ARI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Woody Marks

FF projection: 10.9 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.4 FP
Sleeper: 10.8 FP
FantasyPros: 10.6 FP

Woody Marks faces IND in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 8.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.

Jaydn Ott

FF projection: 0.7 FP
Sleeper: 0.7 FP

Jaydn Ott faces ARI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. Jaydn Ott is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Woody Marks projects for 10.9 points, 10.2 more than Jaydn Ott.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

13.823.1

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 20.9Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 20.8
20.2Expected FP
2
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.1Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 16.7
20.1Expected FP
3
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 20.7Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.8
19.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.