
Should I start Devin Singletary or Jonnu Smith? (PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Devin Singletary
Jonnu Smith is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Devin Singletary has a scheduled game and projects for 6.5 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Devin Singletary: 10.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Devin Singletary: 7.5% matchup reduction against JAC.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Jonnu Smith
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Devin Singletary
- FF projection
- 6.5 FP -0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 7.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.8 FP
Devin Singletary faces JAC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Jonnu Smith
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 0.9 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 21.524.6Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 27.3Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 21.123.8Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.6Sleeper 20.0FantasyPros 20.123.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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