
Should I start Daniel Jones or Sam Darnold? (PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Daniel Jones
Sam Darnold is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Daniel Jones has a scheduled game and projects for 10.4 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
Daniel Jones ยท Starter role checked
- Daniel Jones: 6.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Sam Darnold: 15.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Sam Darnold
QB ยท SEAStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Daniel Jones
- FF projection
- 10.4 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 10.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 10.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 11.3 FP
Daniel Jones faces HOU in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 6.8 fantasy points.
Sam Darnold
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 15.8 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
QB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Josh AllenQB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.7Sleeper 26.9FantasyPros 22.924.8Expected FP - 2
Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.9Sleeper 22.9FantasyPros 22.524.7Expected FP - 3
C.J. StroudQB ยท HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.4Sleeper 19.5FantasyPros 19.622.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
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C.J. Stroud22.6projected FP
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Patrick Mahomes II21.7projected FP
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Dak Prescott21.2projected FP
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Caleb Williams20.8projected FP
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Jayden Daniels20.2projected FP