Should I start Bauer Sharp or Brian Thomas Jr.? (PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Brian Thomas Jr.

+5.3 projected edge · PPR

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Bauer Sharp for Week 11 PPR: 5.4 projected points versus 0.1.

Brian Thomas Jr.: 4.1 FP recent scoring average.
Bauer Sharp: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 5:58 PM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JACStats & schedule

5.4FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

at NYG

Sun 4:25 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Bauer Sharp

TE · TBStats & schedule

0.1FF projected

at DET

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Brian Thomas Jr.

FF projection: 5.4 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.7 FP
Sleeper: 3.8 FP
FantasyPros: 6.5 FP

Brian Thomas Jr. faces NYG in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points.

Bauer Sharp

FF projection: 0.1 FP
Sleeper: 0.1 FP

Bauer Sharp faces DET in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.

Brian Thomas Jr. projects for 5.4 points in PPR scoring, 5.3 more than Bauer Sharp. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 5:58 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

19.927.3

FF MEAN

1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 24.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 22.2Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 21.5
24.6Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 27.3Sleeper 22.7FantasyPros 21.1
23.9Expected FP
3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.6Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 20.1
23.0Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.