
Should I start Jacardia Wright or Roman Wilson? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Roman Wilson
Jacardia Wright is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. Roman Wilson has a scheduled game and projects for 4.2 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Roman Wilson: 7.5% matchup lift against PHI.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jacardia Wright
RB ยท SEAStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Roman Wilson
- FF projection
- 4.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 3.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- -0.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Roman Wilson faces PHI in Week 11. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Jacardia Wright
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.7Sleeper 21.1FantasyPros 19.722.6Expected FP - 2
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.7Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 17.619.5Expected FP - 3
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.8Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 17.819.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 11 decisions
Roman Wilson4.2projected FP
Keon Coleman5.7projected FP
Roman Wilson4.2projected FP
Chris Bell4.3projected FP
Roman Wilson4.2projected FP
Ashton Dulin4.2projected FP
Roman Wilson4.2projected FP
Chimere Dike4.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.6projected FP
James Cook III19.2projected FP
James Cook III19.2projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs18.6projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs18.6projected FP
Tony Pollard18.4projected FP
Tony Pollard18.4projected FP
D'Andre Swift17.3projected FP
D'Andre Swift17.3projected FP
Javonte Williams17.1projected FP
Javonte Williams17.1projected FP
Jonah Coleman16.4projected FP