
Should I start Brock Wright or Devin Duvernay? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Devin Duvernay
+1.0 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Devin Duvernay over Brock Wright for Week 11 Half-PPR: 1.8 projected points versus 0.8.
- Devin Duvernay: 1.4 FP recent scoring average.
- Devin Duvernay: 10% matchup reduction against KC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Brock Wright
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Devin Duvernay
- FF projection
- 1.8 FP -1.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 2.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- -0.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Devin Duvernay faces KC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.6 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Brock Wright faces TB in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.7Sleeper 21.0FantasyPros 19.722.6Expected FP - 2
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.7Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 17.619.5Expected FP - 3
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.8Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 17.819.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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