Should I start Bijan Robinson or John Bates? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start John Bates

Bijan Robinson is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. John Bates has a scheduled game and projects for 1.4 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

John Bates: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Bijan Robinson: 15.3 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 5:40 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

John Bates

TE · WASStats & schedule

1.4FF projected

↑ +0.5 vs ESPN

vs CIN

Mon 8:15 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATLStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

John Bates

FF projection: 1.4 FP +0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 0.9 FP
Sleeper: 1.6 FP
FantasyPros: 2.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 1.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

John Bates faces CIN in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.

Bijan Robinson

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 15.3 fantasy points. BYE

Bijan Robinson is on bye in Week 11 and projects for 0.0 FP. John Bates has a scheduled game and projects for 1.4 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros live refresh is unavailable. Stored same-week projections are used (oldest provider fetch Nov 14, 2026, 1:10 PM ET).

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 5:40 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

16.520.6

FF MEAN

1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.6Sleeper 17.3FantasyPros 18.1
19.5Expected FP
2
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.9Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 18.9
18.6Expected FP
3
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.8Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 16.5
18.5Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.