
Should I start Alvin Kamara or Samaje Perine? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
Alvin Kamara: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
Alvin Kamara ยท Injury report dated
- Alvin Kamara: 8.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Samaje Perine: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR


Samaje Perine
RB ยท CINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Alvin Kamara
- FF projection
- 6.1 FP -0.8vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Alvin Kamara faces CHI in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 8.1 fantasy points. Alvin Kamara is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
Samaje Perine
- FF projection
- 5.5 FP -0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Samaje Perine faces WAS in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.7Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.722.5Expected FP - 2
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.8Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 17.818.8Expected FP - 3
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.9Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 18.918.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Kenneth Walker III22.5projected FP
James Cook III18.8projected FP
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Jahmyr Gibbs18.6projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs18.6projected FP
Tony Pollard18.4projected FP
Tony Pollard18.4projected FP
D'Andre Swift17.3projected FP
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Javonte Williams17.1projected FP
Javonte Williams17.1projected FP
Jonah Coleman16.4projected FP