Should I start Adam Randall or Breece Hall? (Half-PPR Week 11 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Breece Hall

+10.9 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Breece Hall over Adam Randall for Week 11 Half-PPR: 11.9 projected points versus 1.0.

Breece Hall: 10.2 FP recent scoring average.
Adam Randall: 10% matchup lift against CAR.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · Half-PPR

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

FF PICK

Breece Hall

RB · NYJStats & schedule

11.9FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

at LAC

Sun 4:05 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Adam Randall

RB · BALStats & schedule

1.0FF projected

at CAR

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Breece Hall

FF projection: 11.9 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.5 FP
Sleeper: 11.3 FP
FantasyPros: 11.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Breece Hall faces LAC in Week 11. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points.

Adam Randall

FF projection: 1.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.2 FP
FantasyPros: 1.5 FP
Boosted Trees: -0.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Adam Randall faces CAR in Week 11. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.

Breece Hall projects for 11.9 points in half-PPR scoring, 10.9 more than Adam Randall. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff. FantasyPros live refresh is unavailable. Stored same-week projections are used (oldest provider fetch Nov 14, 2026, 1:10 PM ET).

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

12.820.6

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.9Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 18.9
18.6Expected FP
2
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.8Sleeper 17.7FantasyPros 16.5
18.5Expected FP
3
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.1Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 15.1
18.3Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.