RESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.1FF projected
โ -1.8 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ted Hurst III or Tyler Higbee this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Ted Hurst III after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at CARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tyler Higbee
TE ยท LARStats & schedule โบ5.5FF projected
โ +0.8 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Ted Hurst III
FF5.1 FP
Boosted Trees6.9 FP
Workload5.0 FP
Monte Carlo5.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Tyler Higbee
FF5.5 FP
Boosted Trees5.1 FP
Workload5.5 FP
Monte Carlo5.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.1 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ted Hurst III
Fortified5.1
ESPN6.8
Sleeper5.3
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Tyler Higbee
Fortified5.5
ESPN4.7
Sleeper5.9
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Higbee faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
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