THE ALTERNATIVE
Sione Vaki
RB ยท DETStats & schedule โบ3.5FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Sione Vaki or Will Mallory this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Will Mallory
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Will Mallory: 2.0 versus 1.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs GBRESEARCH PICK
Will Mallory
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ3.3FF projected
โ -1.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Sione Vaki
FF3.5 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload4.0 FP
Monte Carlo3.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 4.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Will Mallory
FF3.3 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload3.3 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Sione Vaki
Fortified3.5
ESPN3.6
Sleeper3.5
FantasyProsโ
Sione Vaki faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Will Mallory
Fortified3.3
ESPN4.3
Sleeper2.9
FantasyProsโ
Will Mallory faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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