RESEARCH PICK
Ray Davis
RB · BUFStats & schedule ›1.0FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ray Davis or Will Mallory this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ray Davis
Week 8 · Standard
Recent scoring favors Ray Davis: 2.1 versus 1.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs BALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Will Mallory
TE · INDStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↓ -0.2 vs ESPN
at JACSun 1:00 PM ET
Ray Davis
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.9 FP
Monte Carlo1.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.1 FP.
- The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 1.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 carries per game.
Will Mallory
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees0.7 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Anthony Gould, Tyler Warren; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 1 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Ray Davis
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.4
Sleeper0.8
FantasyPros1.0
Ray Davis faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 2.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Will Mallory
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.2
FantasyPros0.7
Will Mallory faces JAC in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points.
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Scoring & lineup notes
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