THE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE · TBStats & schedule ›0.3FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Payne Durham or Tim Patrick this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 8 · Standard
Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tim Patrick: 1.4 versus 0.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs ATLRESEARCH PICK
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.5FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs LVSun 1:00 PM ET
Payne Durham
FF0.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload0.3 FP
Monte Carlo0.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Emeka Egbuka; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.5 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.3
ESPN0.3
Sleeper0.1
FantasyPros0.4
Payne Durham faces ATL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.5
ESPN0.4
Sleeper0.8
FantasyPros0.5
Tim Patrick faces LV in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points.
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Scoring & lineup notes
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