THE ALTERNATIVE
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ6.8FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Tre Tucker this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tre Tucker
Week 7 ยท Standard
Tre Tucker averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.0 for Pat Freiermuth. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tre Tucker: 9.9 versus 8.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at NORESEARCH PICK
Tre Tucker
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบ7.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Pat Freiermuth
FF6.8 FP
Boosted Trees5.4 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.4 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Tre Tucker
FF7.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload7.7 FP
Monte Carlo7.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.6 targets and 0.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified6.8
ESPN6.7
Sleeper6.1
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Tre Tucker
Fortified7.3
ESPN7.0
Sleeper6.2
FantasyProsโ
Tre Tucker faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
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