
Should I start Noah Gray or Tyler Goodson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 3.5 versus 0.7 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

2.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Goodson
RB ยท DALStats & schedule โบ2.5FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
Noah Gray
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.3 FP
Workload3.4 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Tyler Goodson
FF2.5 FP
Boosted Trees2.1 FP
Workload2.7 FP
Monte Carlo2.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 3.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Noah Gray
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.1
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Tyler Goodson
Fortified2.5
ESPN2.9
Sleeper2.8
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Goodson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points.
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