THE ALTERNATIVE
Noah Fant
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ2.1FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Noah Fant or Velus Jones Jr. this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Velus Jones Jr.
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Velus Jones Jr.: 0.6 versus 0.3 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs PITRESEARCH PICK
Velus Jones Jr.
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ1.9FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Noah Fant
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Velus Jones Jr.
FF1.9 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload1.9 FP
Monte Carlo1.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Noah Fant
Fortified2.1
ESPN1.5
Sleeper3.5
FantasyProsโ
Noah Fant faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points.
Velus Jones Jr.
Fortified1.9
ESPN2.7
Sleeper1.7
FantasyProsโ
Velus Jones Jr. faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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