THE ALTERNATIVE
Nate Boerkircher
TE · JACStats & schedule ›2.1FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Nate Boerkircher or Noah Gray this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 8 · Standard
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Nate Boerkircher. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Noah Gray: 4.8 versus 4.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs INDRESEARCH PICK
Noah Gray
TE · KCStats & schedule ›2.6FF projected
↑ +0.6 vs ESPN
at DENSun 4:25 PM ET
Nate Boerkircher
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload1.9 FP
Monte Carlo2.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF2.6 FP
Boosted Trees2.1 FP
Workload2.9 FP
Monte Carlo3.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rashee Rice; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Nate Boerkircher
Fortified2.1
ESPN1.9
Sleeper0.9
FantasyPros1.8
Nate Boerkircher faces IND in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified2.6
ESPN1.9
Sleeper1.9
FantasyPros2.0
Noah Gray faces DEN in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points.
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Scoring & lineup notes
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