THE ALTERNATIVE
Mitch Tinsley
WR · CINStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↑ +0.6 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Mitch Tinsley or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 · Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Tim Patrick after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Standard
at BALRESEARCH PICK
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Mitch Tinsley
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyPros—
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Don’t just win Sunday.
Win what’s next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS ♛
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your league’s rules.
Scoring & lineup notes
More Week 7 decisions
