THE ALTERNATIVE
Michael Wilson
WR · ARIStats & schedule ›7.7FF projected
↓ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Michael Wilson or Tucker Kraft this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tucker Kraft
Week 7 · Standard
Recent scoring favors Tucker Kraft: 6.9 versus 5.3 FP per game. Tucker Kraft receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus -2.5%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Tucker Kraft
TE · GBStats & schedule ›8.1FF projected
↑ +1.0 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Michael Wilson
FF7.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.3 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Tucker Kraft
FF8.1 FP
Boosted Trees6.9 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo7.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 6.9 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.7 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Michael Wilson
Fortified7.7
ESPN7.9
Sleeper8.0
FantasyPros—
Michael Wilson faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Tucker Kraft
Fortified8.1
ESPN7.1
Sleeper7.3
FantasyPros—
Tucker Kraft faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
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