Should I start Matthew Stafford or Patrick Mahomes this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Matthew Stafford

+4.2 projected edge · Standard

Start Matthew Stafford over Patrick Mahomes for Week 7 Standard: 18.5 projected points versus 14.3.

Matthew Stafford: 18.0 FP recent scoring average; 2.5% matchup lift against LV.
Patrick Mahomes: 13.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup reduction against SEA.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Matthew Stafford

QB · LARStats & schedule

18.5FF projected

↓ -0.1 vs ESPN

at LV

Sun 4:25 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KCStats & schedule

14.3FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

at SEA

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Why this pick?

Matthew Stafford

Fortified18.5

ESPN18.6

Sleeper16.8

FantasyPros—

Matthew Stafford faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 18.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.

Patrick Mahomes

Fortified14.3

ESPN15.6

Sleeper15.5

FantasyPros—

Patrick Mahomes faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Matthew Stafford projects for 18.5 points in standard scoring, 4.2 more than Patrick Mahomes. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.