THE ALTERNATIVE
MarShawn Lloyd
RB ยท GBStats & schedule โบ3.9FF projected
โ +1.6 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Sione Vaki this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Sione Vaki
Week 7 ยท Standard
Sione Vaki receives the better positional matchup adjustment (8.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at DETRESEARCH PICK
Sione Vaki
RB ยท DETStats & schedule โบ3.5FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
MarShawn Lloyd
FF3.9 FP
Boosted Trees-0.2 FP
Workload3.6 FP
Monte Carlo3.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 8.3 carries per game.
Sione Vaki
FF3.5 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload4.0 FP
Monte Carlo3.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 4.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
MarShawn Lloyd
Fortified3.9
ESPN2.3
Sleeper4.2
FantasyProsโ
MarShawn Lloyd faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points.
Sione Vaki
Fortified3.5
ESPN3.6
Sleeper3.5
FantasyProsโ
Sione Vaki faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
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