THE ALTERNATIVE
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ1.1FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Lil'Jordan Humphrey or Tory Horton this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tory Horton
Week 7 ยท Standard
Tory Horton averaged 2.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Lil'Jordan Humphrey. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tory Horton: 2.6 versus 0.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Tory Horton
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ1.5FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Tory Horton
FF1.5 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload1.6 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Fortified1.1
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Tory Horton
Fortified1.5
ESPN1.3
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
Tory Horton faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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