RESEARCH PICK
LAR D/ST
DST ยท LARStats & schedule โบ4.9FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start LAR D/ST or TB D/ST this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start LAR D/ST
Week 7 ยท Standard
LAR D/ST receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-1.25% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at LVTHE ALTERNATIVE
TB D/ST
DST ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.2FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
LAR D/ST
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees6.1 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.7 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
TB D/ST
FF5.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.7 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
Projection breakdown
LAR D/ST
Fortified4.9
ESPN5.7
Sleeper5.4
FantasyProsโ
LAR D/ST faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
TB D/ST
Fortified5.2
ESPN5.6
Sleeper5.5
FantasyProsโ
TB D/ST faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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