Should I start Kyler Murray or Patrick Mahomes this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Kyler Murray

+2.7 projected edge · Standard

Start Kyler Murray over Patrick Mahomes for Week 7 Standard: 17.0 projected points versus 14.3.

Kyler Murray: 14.9 FP recent scoring average.
Patrick Mahomes: 13.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup reduction against SEA.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Kyler Murray

QB · MINStats & schedule

17.0FF projected

↓ -1.0 vs ESPN

vs IND

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KCStats & schedule

14.3FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

at SEA

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Why this pick?

Kyler Murray

Fortified17.0

ESPN18.0

Sleeper15.9

FantasyPros—

Kyler Murray faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.9 fantasy points.

Patrick Mahomes

Fortified14.3

ESPN15.6

Sleeper15.5

FantasyPros—

Patrick Mahomes faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Kyler Murray projects for 17.0 points in standard scoring, 2.7 more than Patrick Mahomes. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.